Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.605017 0.670732 0.743539 0.830742 0.933087 1.050320 1.196110
2025-09-28 0.485228 0.570232 0.672775 0.807812 0.984450 1.212877 1.539854
2025-10-05 0.439535 0.538300 0.665012 0.844341 1.100182 1.467005 2.064391
2025-10-12 0.404574 0.511175 0.654577 0.869517 1.199118 1.716413 2.667203
2025-10-19 0.371392 0.480539 0.632845 0.871797 1.260667 1.920401 3.275268
2025-10-26 0.338203 0.445412 0.599194 0.849090 1.275363 2.046322 3.789724
2025-11-02 0.309873 0.414048 0.566913 0.822753 1.277156 2.146907 4.298277
2025-11-09 0.287439 0.389090 0.541348 0.803162 1.286112 2.262438 4.906843
2025-11-16 0.268571 0.367773 0.519118 0.785839 1.295383 2.380462 5.598134
2025-11-23 0.252666 0.349659 0.500157 0.771518 1.307414 2.507825 6.412403
2025-11-30 0.244744 0.343200 0.499258 0.789001 1.386517 2.819258 8.137333
2025-12-07 0.233659 0.330891 0.487487 0.784757 1.418696 3.023777 9.691202
2025-12-14 0.223827 0.320319 0.478416 0.785891 1.466470 3.300377 12.041596
2025-12-21 0.210216 0.302834 0.456238 0.759230 1.446269 3.375953 13.514500
2025-12-28 0.207099 0.302322 0.463531 0.792147 1.575704 3.982103 19.868348
2026-01-04 0.202660 0.299235 0.465861 0.815095 1.686472 4.598034 29.124737
2026-01-11 0.195726 0.291423 0.458862 0.817172 1.742705 5.049285 39.691082
2026-01-18 0.186418 0.278984 0.442341 0.796434 1.731168 5.218030 47.871458
2026-01-25 0.177391 0.266585 0.425099 0.772356 1.705792 5.318100 56.258365
2026-02-01 0.169751 0.256252 0.411154 0.754428 1.695682 5.491277 69.096744
2026-02-08 0.162876 0.246950 0.398624 0.738563 1.689204 5.685636 86.781419
2026-02-15 0.156766 0.238731 0.387706 0.725437 1.689125 5.920752 113.129828
2026-02-22 0.154270 0.236843 0.389013 0.741459 1.786400 6.784880 220.442070